DUP Deal

No Deal Might Have Been Preferable

It has been amusing over the last 24 hours to see the incredible hypocrisy from Labour supporters over the deal with the DUP – I don’t recall such opprobrium over Gordon Brown attempting a deal with the DUP in 2010, nor do I recall any Corbynistas disowning themselves from a potential deal with Sinn Fein.

Then a complete packet of lies, with the Corbynistas suggesting that there was £1.5bn going straight to the DUP.  The money doesn’t go to the DUP – it will be spent on infrastructure, health, education, etc, and the extra amount going to Northern Ireland is actually £1bn.

Followed by the biggest joke of all – Corbynista comrades suggesting the money is coming from the magic money tree.  So says the party of large unnecessary deficits from 2001 to 2007, with the most unrealistic, dangerous manifesto ever that even Ed Balls confirms would cost the British taxpayer significant sums.  About as fully-costed as a certain someone is strong and stable.

Speaking of whom, didn’t she look uncomfortable when unveiling the deal yesterday?  Oh yeah, she always does.

I cannot say I am comfortable with it either.

The £1bn is just the tip of the iceberg – the unfair, arbitrary 2.5% increase in pensions stays, as does Richard Branson’s winter fuel allowance.  Targets for balancing the budget are being forgotten.

It seems that we are now going to see the effects of a rising opposition.  In recent years, we have seen the damage from a rise in UKIP popularity – a referendum leading now to Brexit.  Now I fear that we are going to see the effects of temporary socialist popularity – the people are apparently fed up of the government trying to live within our means and would like to expand the budget deficit and accelerate the increase in debt – because Corbyn has told them they can have everyone’s cake and the rich will pay for it.

Not only are we now going to have to contend with a potential Brexit recession/slowdown this year, I expect that we are now going to see some form of unaffordable populist spending commitments from the Conservative Party, say for example, pay rises for public sector workers.

I cannot see the deficit falling further this year.  I also cannot see a surplus before the next decent recession, nor a reduction in the debt to GDP ratio.

Only the Labour Party want another election.  The DUP don’t want a Sinn Fein-supporting Labour Party in charge.  The Liberal Democrats need a new leader – and a new direction if they are to compete.  The SNP are close to being in freefall and the last thing they will want is another election.  Leave voters won’t want to put Brexit in any further jeopardy.

We didn’t need to do this deal.  We didn’t need to commit to further unnecessary spending.  We didn’t need to work with those with questionable views on abortion, etc.

But it is what it is.  Anything is better than socialism and the nasty, vile, left-wing bullies getting control.

Just remember – there still isn’t any money.  Your portion of the government debt currently stands around £28,000.

Theresa May Should Stay

May Should Stay – For Now

My two main reasons for wanting a large Conservative majority on Thursday night were to #StopCorbyn and also as an up yours to the vile, nasty left-wing scumbags (not all lefties are scumbags, just like not all Brexiteers are racist).

Corbyn is not Prime Minister – albeit like typical socialist dictators, he seems to think he has won the election and should be Prime Minister instead.

Not only that, but Theresa May – my least favourite Conservative leader ever – a woman I have consistently criticised, compared to a mixture of Gordon Brown and Ed Miliband, and whom is generally ghastly, has had a metaphorical punch in the face.

The strategy of chasing the UKIP and soft-Labour vote has backfired, and totally vindicated my belief that you win elections from the centre.  Ignore the centre at your peril.  Ignore the liberal-minded at your peril.  Ignore the Thatcherites at your peril.

Further to that, Thursday night was a rejection of hard Brexit.  It was revenge of the remainers – the young folk that are generally still furious about Brexit had their moment.

Whilst I was disappointed and worried last night, now it has sunk in – I have come to realise that it is the perfect result for a liberal, free-market remain-supporting Thatcherite.

UKIP lost.  The SNP lost.  Brexit lost.  Theresa May lost.

Speaking of whom.

Theresa May is entirely culpable for losing this election, along with her now-sacked advisors and perhaps to an extent, Lynton Crosby.  Running such a negative, miserable campaign – avoiding the debates, rarely meeting any voters outside of stage-managed events.

Some credit is due for daring to take on difficult decisions such as how to fund social care – especially when against arguably the most deceitful opponent since democracy took hold in the United Kingdom – who promised to spend, spend, spend and give you everything you ever wanted.

However it was an utterly abysmal campaign by an autocratic technocrat – no more a leader than Corbyn is an economist.

Yet she should stay Prime Minister.  Everybody knows she is dreadful now.  During the next two years we are going to see unpopular, divisive Brexit negotiations, with a good chance of a Brexit-recession, and the likelihood of a rather unpopular government.

As long as she can run a government and get legislation passed, she should continue to be Prime Minister.  Because, why waste a new leader’s political capital on what is very likely to be two punishingly unpopular years of government.

Best to get the next two years of Brexit bullshit out of the way, then ensure that a true leader is put to the front of the Conservative Party – whether that be a popular, positive (albeit somewhat divisive) character like Boris Johnson, or a formidable tank-driving lesbian like Ruth Davidson.

To me, Ruth Davidson has for the last two years been the true star of British politics.  Not only is she a more moderate, palatable Conservative, but she is a warrior – and most importantly – a leader.

She really could be the best British Prime Minster in decades.  And boy might we need her in a couple of years.

Her time is soon.  Patience, my friends, patience.

Vote Tory

Why I Voted Conservative

Not exactly a surprise, is it?  James Winfield, the self-proclaimed ‘only Tory from Hull’, has voted Conservative.

But this was actually a tough decision for the first time in my adult voting life.  Even a couple of days ago I was having some doubts.

This is not a vote for the Conservative Party and the direction it is going in.  It is certainly not a vote for Brexit.  And it is definitely not a vote for Theresa May – the ghastly leader that I have long been comparing to Gordon Brown (you could call that insightful?).

Sadly this is nothing more inspiring than a Stop Corbyn vote, despite the generally good record that the Conservative party have over the last 7 years.

My main reason is that the idea of that man having control over the finances of this country petrifies me.

The lies, bribery and deceit that has been central to his campaign is a clear reminder of the politics that got Hugo Chavez elected in Venezuela.

Some may think that I am going to far by comparing Corbyn to Chavez, and Britain’s greatest admirer of the likes of Chavez and Castro may indeed not turn out to have any dictatorial whim whatsoever (though you cannot say that about some of those close to him – like the almost-evil Saemus Milne).

However, his fabricated costings of his manifesto, which will likely not only not raise the money he expects, but also probably increase tax avoidance, increase unemployment and be disastrous not for large corporations (they can report their revenue in other countries, or simple move if they have to), but for the small businesses that employ so many of us.  And what do small businesses do when they receive larger tax bills?  Cut staff or raise prices.

This was a straight-forward choice between competency and bribery.

Corbyn has promised the world, and believe it or not, people like free stuff.

Personally, I prefer a stable country with a strong economy (sorry for sounding like her) – one that will actually still be able to afford an NHS in 10 years time – as opposed to having yet another economic catastrophe caused by excessive unnecessary government borrowing – the likes of which we saw before the crash, from 2001 to 2007 under Labour, and the like of which Corbyn wants to bring about again.

I don’t want a government elected on lying to the people.
I don’t want a government elected on bribing the electorate.
I don’t want a government that admires Lenin, Chavez and Castro.
I don’t want a government that wants to overthrow the capitalist system which has made our country so rich, affording high levels of education and healthcare.
I don’t want a government run by people that want to get rid of the Queen, mi5, and have supported terrorist organisation such as the IRA.
I don’t want a government that wants to disband the army, and has already undermined our nuclear deterrent.

Some people say they want change.  But change can be bad.  I don’t want to change back to the 1970’s – a union-controlled disaster of an economy, laughed at throughout Europe – a country with it’s best days behind it.

And I tell you another reason I want the Conservative Party to win.

So those condescending, rude, arrogant shitbags that are supporting Labour, lose.

Not for a second am I putting any more than a small minority of Labour voters in that bucket of deplorables.  But during the campaign, I have been reminded about just how nasty and vile some of these characters are.  I have had so much abuse, so much rudeness – so many nasty, condescending comments from holier-than-though characters (I admit I haven’t been a complete saint).  For these people especially, I really hope that they lose the election and all their hopes of free stuff are squashed.

And we all know who will be rioting if they lose the election.

If Corbyn Is PM

3 Crumbs Of Comfort For Conservatives If Corbyn Becomes PM (***shudder***)

I appreciate that this is a bit of a straw-clutching exercise, and that the idea of Corbyn being Prime Minister is still somewhat in the realms of fantasy – I remain hopeful and expectant that the public at large are wise enough not to fall for what is a Chavez-esque strategy of bribing the voters.

Maybe it is also a bit of psychological preparation just in case Corbyn follows Trump with a victory for populism.  Believe it or not, there is quite a lot in common between Trump and Corbyn, politically.  But this is not the blog post for that.

This is a nice simple list of reasons of why, in the event of a Corbyn victory, Conservatives can take at least a few crumbs of comfort.  It is a more medium/long-term outlook.  Also it does assume that Corbyn, McDonnell and co don’t go down the path of dictatorship – which some of their team have at the least alluded to.

We need an example of failure

Whenever you have an argument, it very much helps to have an example or two to back it up.  So to have the argument against socialism, the two most natural examples to use would either be the United Kingdom in the 1970’s, or Venezuela now.

Except most people under 50 have neither memory of the disaster the union-controlled United Kingdom was in the 1970’s (known as the sick dog of Europe and needing to borrow money from the IMF), nor any education of it – for why would unionised Labour-voting teachers educate young people on the dangers of socialism?

And if I say ‘Venezuela’ to most people, they will just think about pleasant hot South American countries like Brazil, and not have any idea how the populist socialist giveaways of what was once South America’s most prosperous country have turned it into a basket-case of an economy, with shortages of food (Venezuelans are losing weight as there is not enough food), one of the highest murder rates in the world, and now the socialist government is refusing elections.  All whilst having one of the highest oil reserves in the world.  It is now a socialist dictatorship.

Now that took 20 years of ‘more socialism is the answer’.  Even if Corbyn gets in, the chance of him making it that bad is small.  So let’s take something more realistic.  Rent caps were tried in the 1970’s.  I can see why young people, especially in London, would see Corbyn’s proposals and think “oooh a few more glasses of prosecco”.  Yet this was tried in the 1970’s and led to landlords not repairing properties and less rental properties on the market.  Rent caps do not work.  But nobody under 50 has any experience, and very few have ever looked into economic studies of the outcome of rent caps.

Even lefties like Vice understand rent caps don’t work.

So (finally) onto the point of this point.  If Britain goes ahead and elects what I expect would be a Corbyn-led socialist disaster, we, and the rest of the western world would have this necessary example of what a disaster socialism is, which could be used for at least one, perhaps two generations.

It’s about time Labour made some difficult decisions

I’ll try to make this shorter.  Here – have an infographic.

There is a pattern.  Labour bust the economy, the Conservatives fix it.  But fixing it means unpopular measures such as reducing benefits, increasing pension age, reducing police numbers.  Labour can simply sit there, as they do every time, and disagree with every measure aimed at living within our means (aka austerity – the BBC-branded phrase to manipulate the voters in favour of Labour).

In case you haven’t noticed (both Corbyn and, worryingly, May are ignoring economics in this campaign) the job of repairing the economy is not even half fixed, such was the shambles handed over.  The deficit still exists (though a third of what it was), debt is still rising and debt to GDP ratio is far too high for this junction of the economic cycle.

If Corbyn is elected, there will soon be economic difficulties – perhaps in the short-term only something such as higher interest rates for government borrowing.  Whatever form it takes, Corbyn and yes – finally, Labour, would be forced to make some difficult and unpopular decisions.

Whilst I and hopefully a decent proportion of people reading understand that current unpopular decisions are due to Labour’s total mismanagement of the economy prior to the crash, many don’t understand – or simply refute it – blaming ‘evil Tories’ for any decision they don’t like that has been made to help balance the budget.

It really is about time the Labour Party had to take some responsibility for the mess they cause.

Brexit disaster can be blamed on Labour

For those of us who believe Brexit will be a disaster, it will be helpful to be able to blame Labour for the mess.  Both parties are equally responsible for Brexit happening (perhaps Labour more given Corbyn’s total reluctance to campaign for the outcome he professed to desire – where exactly where your remain campaign rallies, Mr ‘I want us to remain in the EU, look I am so honest I even make my own jam’ Corbyn?), but if we are going to have a Brexit recession, better for the Conservatives that it happen under Labour.

I appreciate that for anyone capable of voting Conservative (ie not looking for an immediate handout of some description), a Corbyn government is a pretty bleak outlook.

But in the medium/long-term, there are at least a few crumbs of comfort.